September 21, 2025

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Key Levels to Monitor as Market Awaits Fed Data

The cryptocurrency market gears up for a pivotal week, with Bitcoin’s price hovering around significant levels that traders are closely monitoring. As BTC prepares to kick off another trading week, the price has settled just below the $116,000 mark, creating an atmosphere of anticipation and speculation among investors.

Recent data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is sandwiched between key support and resistance levels at approximately $114,000 and $117,200, respectively. These price points have been focal points for traders throughout the past week, influenced by macroeconomic shifts in the United States.

Popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital shared insights on social media platform X, stating, “The retest of $114k into support continues to be successful but there is resistance at ~$117.2k.” This highlights the current range-bound market conditions and raises questions about the strength of the resistance level at $117,200.

Another trader, Daan Crypto Trades, has been observing a broader price range, emphasizing $112,000 and $118,000 as crucial thresholds to watch. In a recent update, he noted the low volatility seen over the past several weekends, saying, “It’s now the 4th weekend in a row where we have seen little volatility and likely no gap being created.” As traders prepare for potential price movements, he continues to monitor these critical levels.

Crypto investor Ted Pillows echoed a similar sentiment, observing that Bitcoin has been consolidating around the $116,000 level for some time. In his analysis, he mentioned the importance of Bitcoin breaking above the $117,000 level for any significant upward momentum. He cautioned that failure to breach this resistance might set the stage for a decline, followed by a rally later in the fourth quarter.

As the market braces for the week ahead, it is poised for potential volatility driven by macroeconomic developments. On September 26, the US Federal Reserve is scheduled to release its preferred inflation metric, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. This announcement, along with speeches from various Fed officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, is anticipated to provide further insight into the central bank’s future policy directions following their recent vote to implement an interest rate cut for 2025.

Market participants will be keenly analyzing the upcoming macro data for clues regarding the Fed’s interest rate decisions, especially in light of the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting set for October 29. Current projections, according to data from the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, suggest strong market confidence in a potential 0.25% interest rate cut during this next meeting.

In summary, the price action of Bitcoin is currently contained within critical support and resistance levels, which are likely to be influenced by broader macroeconomic factors in the coming week. As always, investors are reminded to conduct their own research, as trading in cryptocurrencies involves risks and uncertainties.